Unbiasedness of Estimator

Unbiasedness of estimator is probably the most important property that a good estimator should possess. In statistics, the bias (or bias function) of an estimator is the difference between this estimator’s expected value and the true value of the parameter being estimated. An estimator is said to be unbiased if its expected value equals the corresponding population parameter; otherwise it is said to be biased. Let us consider in detail about the unbiasedness of estimator

Unbiased Estimator

Suppose in the realization of a random variable X taking values in probability space i.e. ($\chi, \mathfrak{F},P_\theta$), such that $\theta \varepsilon \Theta$, a function $f:\Theta \rightarrow \Omega $ has be estimated, mapping the parameter set $\Theta$ into a certain set $\Omega$, and that as an estimator of $f(\theta)$ a statistic $T=T(X)$ is chosen. if T is such that
\[E_\theta[T]=\int_\chi T(x) dP_\theta(x)=f(\theta)\]
holds for $\theta\varepsilon \Theta$ then T is called an unbiased estimator of $f(\theta)$. An unbiased estimator is frequently called free of systematic errors.

Suppose $\hat{\theta}$ be an estimator of a parameter $\theta$, then $\hat{\theta}$ is said to be unbiased estimator if $E(\hat{\theta})=0$.

  • If $E(\hat{\theta})=\theta$ then $\hat{\theta}$ is an unbiased estimator of a parameter $\theta$.
  • If $E(\hat{\theta})<\theta$ then $\hat{\theta}$ is a negatively biased estimator of a parameter $\theta$.
  • If $E(\hat{\theta})>\theta$ then $\hat{\theta}$ is a positively biased estimator of a parameter $\theta$.

Bias of an estimator $\theta$ can be found by $[E(\hat{\theta})-\theta]$.

$\overline{X}$ is an unbiased estimator of the mean of a population (whose mean exists). $\overline{X}$ is an unbiased estimator of $\mu$ in a Normal distribution i.e. $N(\mu, \sigma^2)$. $\overline{X}$ is an unbiased estimator of the parameter $p$ of the Bernoulli distribution. $\overline{X}$ is an unbiased estimator of the parameter $\lambda$ of the Poisson distribution. In each of these cases, the parameter $\mu, p$ or $\lambda$ is the mean of the respective population being sampled.

However, sample variance $S^2$ is not an unbiased estimator of population variance $\sigma^2$, but consistent.

It is possible to have more than one unbiased estimator for an unknown parameter. The sample mean and the sample median are unbiased estimator of the population mean $\mu$, if the population distribution is symmetrical.

Muhammad Imdad Ullah

Currently working as Assistant Professor of Statistics in Ghazi University, Dera Ghazi Khan. Completed my Ph.D. in Statistics from the Department of Statistics, Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan, Pakistan. l like Applied Statistics, Mathematics, and Statistical Computing. Statistical and Mathematical software used is SAS, STATA, GRETL, EVIEWS, R, SPSS, VBA in MS-Excel. Like to use type-setting LaTeX for composing Articles, thesis, etc.

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