Category: Introduction

Nature of Heteroscedasticity

Let us start about nature of heteroscedasticity.

The assumption of homoscedasticity (equal-spread, equal variance) is

$$E(u_i^2)=E(u_i^2|X_{2i},X_{3i},\cdots, X_{ki})=\sigma^2,\quad 1,2,\cdots, n$$

Homoscedasticity

The above Figure shows that the conditional variance of $Y_i$ (which is equal to that of $u_i$), conditional upon the given $X_i$, remains the same regardless of the values taken by the variable $X$.

Heteroscedasticity

The Figure shows that the conditional value of $Y_i$ increases as $X$ increases. The variance of $Y_i$ are not the same. There is heteroscedasticity.

$$E(u_i^2)=E(u_i^2|X_{2i},X_{3i},\cdots, X_{ki})=\sigma_i^2$$

There are several reasons why the variances of $u_i$ may variable:

  • Following the error-learning models, as people learn, their error of behavior becomes smaller over time or the number of errors becomes more consistent. In such cases, $\sigma_i^2$ is expected to decreases.
  • As income grows, people have more discretionary income (income remaining after deduction of taxes) and hence more scope for choice about disposition (برتاؤ، قابو) of their income. Similarly, companies with larger profits are generally expected to show greater variability in their dividend (کمپنی کا منافع) policies than companies with lower profits.
  • As data collecting techniques improve $\sigma_i^2$ is likely to decrease. For example, Banks having sophisticated data processing equipment are likely to commit fewer errors in the monthly or quarterly statements of their customers than banks without such equipment.
  • Heteroscedasticity can also arise as a result of the presence of outliers. The inclusion or exclusion of such an observation, especially if the sample size is small, can substantially (معقول حد تک، درحقیقت) alter the results of regression analysis.
  • Omission of variables also results in problem of Heteroscedasticity. Upon deleting the variable form the model the researcher would not be able to interpret anything from the model.
    \item Heteroscedasticity may arise from the violation of the assumption of CLRM that the model is correctly specified.
  • Skewness in the distribution of one or more regressors is another source of heteroscedasticity. For example, income is uneven.
  • Incorrect data transformation (ratio or first difference), incorrect functional form (linear vs log-linear) is also the source of heteroscedasticity.
  • The problem of heteroscedasticity is likely to be more in cross-sectional data than in time series data.

Introduction to Heteroscedasticity

Here we will discuss about some introduction to heteroscedasticity.

The disturbances $u_i$ in CLRM appearing in the population regression function should be homoscedastic; that is they all have the same variance.

Heteroscedasticity means different (or unequal) and the Greek word Skodastic means spread (or scatter). Homoscedasticity means equal spread and heteroscedasticity means unequal spread.

Effect on the Var-Cov Matrix of the Error Terms:
The Var-Cov matrix of errors is

$$E(uu’) = E(u_i^2)=Var(u_i^)=\begin{pmatrix}
\sigma^2 & 0 & \cdots & 0\\ 0 & \sigma^2 & \vdots & 0\\ \vdots & \vdots & \vdots & \vdots\\ 0&0&\ddots &\sigma^2
\end{pmatrix}=\sigma^2 I_n,$$

where $I_n$ is an $n\times n$ identity matrix.

In the presence of heteroscedasticity, the Var-Cov matrix of the residuals will no longer be constant.

$$E(uu’)= E(u_i^2)=Var(u_i^)==\begin{pmatrix}
\sigma_1^2 & 0 & 0 & \cdots & 0 \\0 & \sigma^2_2 & 0 & \cdots & 0 \\ 0 & 0 & \sigma^2_3 & \cdots & 0 \\ 0 & 0 & 0 &\ddots & \sigma_n^2
\end{pmatrix}$$

The Var-Cov matrix of the OLS estimators $\hat{\beta}$ is

\begin{align*}
Cov(\hat{\beta}) &= E\left[(\hat{\beta}-\beta)(\hat{\beta}-\beta)’ \right]\\
&=E\left[[(X’X)^{-1}X’u][(X’X)^{-1}X’u]’ \right]\\
&=E\left[(X’X)^{-1}X’uu’X(X’X)^{-1} \right]\\
&=(X’X)^{-1}X’E(uu’)X(X’X)^{-1}\\
&=(X’X)^{-1}X’\Omega X (X’X)^{-1}
\end{align*}

Following are questions when we are concerned with heteroscedasticity:

  • What is the nature of heteroscedasticity?
  • What are its consequences?
  • How does one detect it?
  • What are the remedial measures?

That’s all about some basic introduction to heteroscedasticity.

To Learn about Remedial Measures of Heteroscedasticity visit the link: Remedial Measures of Heteroscedasticity

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