Index Number in Statistics: made easy

An index number in statistics is a tool used to track changes in a variable or a group of related variables, typically over time. Index Numbers condense the complex data into a single number (expressed as a percentage) for easier comparison between different periods or situations.

Example: A factory manager may wish to compare this month’s per-unit production cost with that of the past 6 months.

An index number measures how much a variable changes over time.

Simple Relatives Index Numbers

A simple relative is a ratio of the value of a variable in a given period to its value in the base (or reference) period.

If $x_0$ and $x_n$ are the values of a variable during the base period and a given period, respectively, then the simple relative, denoted by $x_{0n}$ is
$$x_{0n}=\frac{x_n}{x_0}$$

A relative is usually expressed as a percentage by multiplying by 100.

Simple Price Relative

If $p_0$ and $p_n$ are the prices of a commodity \texturdu{مفید شے، مال اسباب} during the base period and a given period, respectively, then the simple price relative, denoted by $p_{0n}$ is
$$p_{0n}=\frac{p_n}{p_0}$$
The price is generally defined as “money per unit quantity” and is usually taken as the average price for a period because the prices are not constant throughout a period.

Simple Quantity (Volume) Relative

If $q_0$ and $q_n$ are quantities of a commodity (produced, consumed, purchased, sold, exported, or imported, etc.) during the base period and a given period, respectively, then the simple quantity relative, denoted by $q_{0n}$ is
$$q_{0n}=\frac{q_n}{q_0}$$

Value

If $p$ is the price of a commodity and $q$ is its quantity during a period, then the value $v$ is given by $v=p\,q$. For example, if a quantity of 560kg of a commodity is purchased at the rate of Rs. 5 per Kg then
$$v=pq=5\times 560 = 2800$$

Simple Value Relative

If $v_0$ and $v_n$ are the values of a commodity during the base period and a given period, respectively, then the simple value relative, denoted by $v_{0n}$ is
$$v_{0n}=\frac{v_n}{v_0}=\frac{p_nq_n}{p_0q_0}=\frac{p_n}{q_n}\times \frac{q_n}{q_0}=p_{0n}\times q_{0n}$$

Index Number in Statistics

Uses of Index Number in Statistics

  • Functions: Measure changes in variables like prices, production levels, or stock values.
  • Benefits:
    • Simplifies complex data comparisons
    • Tracks trends over time
    • Provides a benchmark for analysis (often using a base period as a reference point at 100)
  • Examples:
    • Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks inflation by measuring changes in the prices of a basket of goods and services.
    • Stock market indices like the S&P 500 track the overall performance of a specific stock market section.

Note that there are various types of index numbers used for different purposes. Computing the index numbers involves specific formulas and functions that take into account the chosen base period and the way different variables are weighted within the index.

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Important MCQs Based on Index Numbers (2023)

This Post Contains Multiple Choice Questions from Introductory Statistics for the preparation of exams and different tests. This page includes the Online MCQs Based on Index Numbers for the preparation of different statistics and job-related examinations. Let us start with the MCQs based on Index Numbers, which is the first quiz on index numbers.

Online MCQs based on Index Numbers

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Multiple Choice Questions about Index Number. The test about Index Numbers for the preparation of FPSC Statistical Officer will help you in online preparation for the post of Lecturer, Statistical Officer, and other statistics-related jobs.

  • Construction of Index Numbers follows steps (i) Object of Index Number, (ii) Choice of items, (iii) Choice of Base Period, (iv) Collection of Prices of Items, (v) Choice of Average, (vi) Selection of Proper Weights
  • Fixed Base Method
  • Chain Base Method
  • Composite Index Numbers
  • Un-weighted index Numbers which include (i) Simple Aggregative Index Numbers, (ii) Simple Average of Relatives Index Numbers
  • Weighted Index Numbers include (i) Weighted Aggregative Index Numbers, (ii) Weighted Average of Relatives Index Numbers
  • The Weighted Aggregative Index Numbers include (i) Laspeyre’s Index Number, (ii) Paasche’s Index Number, (iii) Fisher Idea Index Number, Value Index Number,
  • Consumer Price Index Numbers. The important steps in the construction of CPI numbers include (i) Choosing the class of people, (ii) Selection of commodities, (iii) Budget Inquiry, (iv) Collection of Prices, (v) Calculation of CPI Numbers
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Index Numbers An Introduction

What is an Index Number?

The index numbers “measure a relative change in a variable or an average relative change in a group of related variables concerning a base”. An index number indicates the level of certain phenomena at some given period compared to the level of the same phenomena at some reference period. The index numbers are usually constructed for economic variables such as price, quantity, wage, unemployment, investment, cost of living, etc.

An index number simplifies the comparison of data by expressing it as a percentage or ratio of the base value, which is typically set to 100. Index numbers are widely used in economics, finance, and business to analyze trends in prices, production, employment, and other metrics. Common examples include the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for inflation, Stock Market Indices (like the S&P 500), and the Industrial Production Index. They provide a clear, standardized way to measure and interpret changes in complex data.

Index numbers are free from units of measurement because they show relative changes. For ease of understanding, index numbers are expressed in percentages. To construct an index number at least two periods are required and a period that is economically stable and has no major crisis caused by wars, diseases, strikes, food shortage, etc. known as the normal period is selected as a base. Index numbers of wholesale prices and consumer prices, etc. are published by the Federal Bureau of Statistics and State Bank of Pakistan.

Uses/ Need of Index Numbers

There are many uses for index numbers but the most important are:

  • Many economic plans and Government policies depend on index numbers, for example, to control rising prices of government imports from other countries or give subsidies (financial support) to the manufacturer.
  • The Price index number is used to know the purchasing ability of money at different periods and places.
  • The quantity index number is used to know the changes in the quantities produced, consumed, sold, purchased, imported or exported, etc.
  • Consumer price index numbers are used to know people’s standards of living and the goods and services used by them.
  • Index numbers are used to forecast future economic trends
  • Cyclical (long-term movements, which are in the form of oscillation) and seasonal (short-term movements, which are linked with the seasons or movements that repeat themselves within a fixed period) movements are measured by index number.
Index Numbers

Shortcomings of Index Number

Index numbers can not be used freely due to the following shortcomings:

  • An improper base period gives misleading results. Base periods must be free from all types of crises caused by wars, diseases, strikes, food shortages, etc. If such a period is not available then the average of some or all the periods is selected as the base.
  • Selection of favorite commodities is difficult because the use of services and commodities by individuals varies with the locality of people, social customs, standard of living, occupation, ideas of saving, courage of investment, and sources of income, etc.
  • The quality of a product cannot be observed at each point, that is, ball-to-ball commentary is difficult. For example, if we want to view the quality of cloth at each thread before purchasing it becomes impossible.
  • Index number gives a rough measure of relative changes because sampling error or error of measurement may occur at the stages of gathering data or the base period may be improper or the number of commodities may be less than required. According to Dr. Arriving Fisher, the accuracy of index numbers may be increased by increasing the number of commodities.
  • Different methods of index numbers usually give different results.
  • Prices vary from place to place according to the idea of profit of investors, expenditures on transportation, and awareness about the psychology of buyers, hence their collection is difficult.

Examples of Important Index Numbers

  • Consumer Price Index (CPI): Tracks changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers.
  • Producer Price Index (PPI): Measures the average change in prices received by domestic producers for their output.
  • Wholesale Price Index (WPI): Tracks the price changes of goods traded in wholesale markets.
  • Industrial Production Index (IPI): Measures the volume of physical production in the industrial sector.

In conclusion, index numbers are a powerful tool for summarizing complex economic information and identifying trends. They play a vital role in economic analysis, decision-making, and understanding changes in our world over time.

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